OK, so I didn't expect Pittsburgh to play Cleveland in a monsoon last weekend. Pittsburgh didn't cover the six point spread and I lost that one. Had I known about the weather situation, I probably still would have picked the Steelers to cover that game, so what can you do, right? And picking the Atlanta/Tampa Bay game ... eh. Made sense at the time, I guess.
I hit the other three games, though, so after the first two weeks my cumulative record is 6-4, and my original investment of $100 has grown to $150 ($20 left over from week 1, plus $130 from last week's correct games). Not great, but I'm in the black, and I haven't had to put in "additional" funds to keep this going.
As always, the odds are via Yahoo! sports, this week taken at 6:23 p.m. on Saturday 9/20.
Buffalo -9.5 vs. Oakland (at Buffalo) for $20:
I know the Raiders won last week, but they're still terrible, and Buffalo's defense won't allow many points this week. They'll be lucky to score a touchdown on offense, frankly. I know it's a pretty big spread, but Buffalo's at home, and I can envision the Bills winning by two touchdowns (at least).
Tennessee -4.5 vs. Houston (at Tennessee) for $20:
Houston didn't play last week due to Hurricane Ike, so they've been dealing with major distractions off the field, and Tennessee seems to have successfully navigated through their own distractions on the field (for now, at least). They're at home, and a 4.5 point spread seems do-able to me.
Minnesota -3.5 vs. Carolina (at Minnesota) for $20:
Adrian Peterson may not play, the team has turned to Gus Frerotte (!) to lead the team at QB, and the Vikings are coming off a disastrous loss last week in a winnable game vs. Indianapolis. Carolina is 2-0, Steve Smith is back in the lineup, and the Panthers have every reason to be as optimistic as the Vikings may be pessimistic. Even on the road, I think the spread favors Carolina.
Atlanta -5.5 vs. Kansas City (at Atlanta) for $20:
The Chiefs are terrible, and it may be safe to bet against them and whatever their spread is for the rest of the season. Atlanta's not great (especially their defense, which has allowed 45 points already this season), but the Chiefs are starting their third string QB on the road.
New England -12.5 vs. Miami (at New England) for $20:
What I said last week about not betting on the home team, and using your head instead of your heart? Here's the exception to the rule. I know the point spread is pretty big, but the Patriots are at home, Matt Cassel is playing with confidence, Chad Pennington is no Bret Favre (because if he was, he'd still be a Jet instead of the actual Favre), the Dolphins can't run they give up a ton of yards to their opposition, and Joey Porter said the 'Fins would treat Cassel "like a backup" and that the game "shouldn't be that hard" because Cassel "isn't Tom Brady".
Why do you say such stupid things, sir? Even if Matt Cassel can't perform the way Brady did, the rest of the team can still perform better than the Dolphins can. The Dolphins who won exactly one game last year. The Dolphins who are winless this year and looked clueless vs. Arizona.
P-A-T-S! Pats Pats Pats!
Five games, twenty bucks a pop, keeping $50 off the board for next week. Plus a "real" blog entry to follow in the next day or two.
I hit the other three games, though, so after the first two weeks my cumulative record is 6-4, and my original investment of $100 has grown to $150 ($20 left over from week 1, plus $130 from last week's correct games). Not great, but I'm in the black, and I haven't had to put in "additional" funds to keep this going.
As always, the odds are via Yahoo! sports, this week taken at 6:23 p.m. on Saturday 9/20.
Buffalo -9.5 vs. Oakland (at Buffalo) for $20:
I know the Raiders won last week, but they're still terrible, and Buffalo's defense won't allow many points this week. They'll be lucky to score a touchdown on offense, frankly. I know it's a pretty big spread, but Buffalo's at home, and I can envision the Bills winning by two touchdowns (at least).
Tennessee -4.5 vs. Houston (at Tennessee) for $20:
Houston didn't play last week due to Hurricane Ike, so they've been dealing with major distractions off the field, and Tennessee seems to have successfully navigated through their own distractions on the field (for now, at least). They're at home, and a 4.5 point spread seems do-able to me.
Minnesota -3.5 vs. Carolina (at Minnesota) for $20:
Adrian Peterson may not play, the team has turned to Gus Frerotte (!) to lead the team at QB, and the Vikings are coming off a disastrous loss last week in a winnable game vs. Indianapolis. Carolina is 2-0, Steve Smith is back in the lineup, and the Panthers have every reason to be as optimistic as the Vikings may be pessimistic. Even on the road, I think the spread favors Carolina.
Atlanta -5.5 vs. Kansas City (at Atlanta) for $20:
The Chiefs are terrible, and it may be safe to bet against them and whatever their spread is for the rest of the season. Atlanta's not great (especially their defense, which has allowed 45 points already this season), but the Chiefs are starting their third string QB on the road.
New England -12.5 vs. Miami (at New England) for $20:
What I said last week about not betting on the home team, and using your head instead of your heart? Here's the exception to the rule. I know the point spread is pretty big, but the Patriots are at home, Matt Cassel is playing with confidence, Chad Pennington is no Bret Favre (because if he was, he'd still be a Jet instead of the actual Favre), the Dolphins can't run they give up a ton of yards to their opposition, and Joey Porter said the 'Fins would treat Cassel "like a backup" and that the game "shouldn't be that hard" because Cassel "isn't Tom Brady".
Why do you say such stupid things, sir? Even if Matt Cassel can't perform the way Brady did, the rest of the team can still perform better than the Dolphins can. The Dolphins who won exactly one game last year. The Dolphins who are winless this year and looked clueless vs. Arizona.
P-A-T-S! Pats Pats Pats!
Five games, twenty bucks a pop, keeping $50 off the board for next week. Plus a "real" blog entry to follow in the next day or two.
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